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Table 2 Summary of studies in the current literature (cardiovascular disease)

From: Prognostic potentials of AI in ophthalmology: systemic disease forecasting via retinal imaging

Author

Study year

Key findings

Retinal biomarker

Dataset

Total No. of events/ participants

Adjusted variable

Study design

Rim et al. [16]

-

Reti-CAC is a reliable and effective alternative to CT scan-measured coronary artery calcification (CAC) for predicting cardiovascular events.

Adding Reti-CAC to the PCE enhances cardiovascular risk stratification, evidenced by a continuous net reclassification index of 0.261.

Reti-CAC score

Severance Main Hospital, Seoul, South Korea

CMERC­HI (South Korea)

SEED (Singapore)

UK Biobank (UK)

527 (CMERC-HI)

33 (6.3%) of 527 had CVD events during the 5-year follow-up

8,551 (SEED)

310 (3.6%) of 8551 had CVD events

47,679 (UK Biobank)

337 (0.7%) of 47679 had CVD events

Age

Gender

Hypertension

Dyslipidaemia

Diabetes

Smoking status

BMI

Fasting glucose level

Retrospective cohort study

Tseng et al. [17]

May 2021

Reti-CVD, derived from retinal photographs, indicates a higher CVD risk, and serves as an effective tool for identifying individuals with a ≥ 10% 10-year CVD risk, including those in the borderline-QRISK3 category.

It accurately identifies high-risk individuals, with a 10-year risk of 13.1% (CI: 11.7%–14.6%), enhancing early intervention and refining risk assessments, especially for those with a 10-year risk of 7.5%–10%.

Reti-CVD score

UK Biobank

48,260

(6.3% of 48,260 had CVD events during the 11-year follow-up)

Age

Gender

Smoking status

Body mass index

Hypertension

Total cholesterol level

Diabetes mellitus status

Retrospective cohort study

Chang et al. [18]

Between January 2005 and December 2017

DL-FAS, using retinal fundus images, predicts CVD death risk, adding value beyond the Framingham risk score (FRS). It indicates atherosclerosis severity with a DL-FAS > 0.66 marking a significantly higher CVD death risk (HR 8.33) compared to DL-FAS < 0.33. Enhancing FRS models, DL-FAS raises concordance by 0.0266 and stands as an independent CVD death predictor.

DL-FAS

HPC-SNUH

32,227

Age

Gender

BMI

FRS risk level

Smoking status

Alcohol consumption

Exercise

Diabetes status

Hypertension

Dyslipidaemia

Retrospective cohort study

Cheung et al. [19]

January 2005 and December 2016

Retinal-vessel calibre measurements from DL models correlate with CVD risk, matching or surpassing expert graders in predictive accuracy. These models achieve high precision in retinal-vessel measurement, with intraclass correlation coefficients of 0.82 to 0.95 compared to expert assessments.

SIVA-DLS

SEED Dataset

59,191

Age

Gender

Ethnicity

MABP

BMI

Total cholesterol level

HbA1c

Smoking status

Retrospective cohort study

Poplin et al. [20]

UK Biobank –2006 to 2010

EyePACS – 2007 to 2015

DL models using retinal fundus images accurately predict the onset of MACE within 5 years and quantify previously elusive cardiovascular risk factors (age, gender, smoking status, blood pressure). Predictive accuracies include age with mean absolute error 3.26 years, gender (AUC: 0.97), smoking status (AUC: 0.71), systolic blood pressure with mean absolute error 11.23 mmHg, and MACE (AUC: 0.70).

Retinal fundus images

UK Biobank

EyePACs Dataset

12,026 patients, 91 with prior cardiac events were excluded. In the remaining 11,835 patients, 105 experienced MACE within 5 years post-retinal imaging.

Age

Gender

Smoking status

HbA1c

Blood pressure

BMI

Major adverse Cardiovascular events

Observational cohort study

  1. AUC = area under the curve; BMI = body mass index; CI = confidence interval; CMERC­HI = Cardiovascular and Metabolic Disease Etiology Research Center-High Risk; CT = computational tomography; CVD = cardiovascular disease; DL-FAS = deep learning-funduscopic atherosclerosis score; HbA1c = hemoglobin A1c; HR = hazard ratio; HPC-SNUH = Health Promotion Center of Seoul National University Hospital; MACE = major adverse cardiovascular events; MABP = mean arterial blood pressure; PCE = pool cohort equation; SEED = Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases